F1 Prediction League Stats - 2013

This is a summary of F1 prediction league 2013 statistics. 

See this post here for individual player stats.

Player stats - 2013

Ordered by championship position.

Final Championship Standings 2013 and Brazil Results

So here it is - the end of the 2013 season. It's been a lot of fun running the league, I hope you feel the same way about playing it. There's been some stand-out picks throughout the season, which I've really enjoyed seeing, and I'm happy we agreed to ban Vettel. It improved the league immeasurably towards the end.

I'm planning on releasing an awards thread next weekend (check back Sunday PM), where the winner of the £30 amazon voucher will be announced. However congratulations to Kim who won the 2013 Vettel mini-champs car for finishing 1st/2nd in the Drivers Championship.

I'm also in the process of creating a survey, where you can comment on the F1 prediction league in general and areas for improvement. I'll post that link, as well as fully completed statistics for the 2013 season, when the awards thread is posted.

Any way on to the real stuff, Kiszol has won their third race of the season - meaning Sauber now have six wins and a 109 point lead in the constructors championship. It's been incredible from my perspective to work with Kiszol and I wish them well with their Red Bull drive.

For other teams it's been very intense between 2nd and 5th place. McLaren just edged the battle, scoring 92 points in the last four races. It was a shame for the Lotus team, as both players have picked fantastically all year. However congratulations to both McLaren drivers. As both teams remain the same in 2014, they can have a have a rematch!

So here are the final standings:

  

Constructors Championship
 
For constructors, so not to disadvantage teams with only one driver (or to protect against someone who doesn't post), players will score points in line with race finishes. See the overall results below, Kiszol will score 25 points for their 1st place this weekend. This is different to how the drivers championship will be scored. If players are tied they will be separated by the following criteria: Race > Constructors > Qualifying > Random > The time of the pick (earlier the better).
 

The podium was as follows (see post for further results)  
 

Round-up of Brazil picks 2013 (Season Finale)

See the Brazil picking thread: (http://formulaoneanalysis.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/brazil-f1-prediction-league-season.html) 

 

 Here is a round-up of picks:

 

 The most common picks were clearly Webber, Webber, Mercedes this week.

 

Qualifying

 

Read on for race, constructors and random splits.

Brazil - F1 Prediction League (Season Finale - Round 19)

It's time for the season finale! It all comes down to this. Brazil always produces exciting races so we can expect even more from the battles throughout the field - the battle for third, for sixth, for tenth. There's even great battles in the constructors with Lotus and McLaren only separated by 1 point fighting for second.

The great thing is that we have a mammoth random category and no Vettel picks for qualifying! This is definitely the most open weekend in terms of picks in a long time.

Good luck to all. Let's fight to see who gets the final victory of the season.

To refresh your memories, here's a quick round-up of the standings so far:

End of Season Awards

There are a number of awards to give out at the end of the season (top three for each category):

1. Best qualifying pick
2. Best race pick
3. Best constructors pick
4. Best random pick
5. 'Mark Webber' award (to the most unlucky player throughout the season)
6. The Conservative award (to the player who posted the most picked qualifying, race or constructors pick the most times)
7. The Originality award (to the player who posted the most picked qualifying, race or constructors pick the least times)
8. Multi 21 (to the player who finished one place above their teammate in the most events)
9. The 'Hulk Smash' award (awarded to the player who beat their teammate the most convincingly during the season)
10. No. 1 fan award (awarded to the player who picked a driver more times than anyone else e.g. if a player picked Chilton 10 times more than anyone else they'd likely win)

For a full guide to the 2013 season including stats and other F1 prediction league articles, please go to: F1 Prediction League 2013

It's finally great to get all active players set up in their teams for next year.

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Random Category for Brazil (The Brazilian Bolt)

Which player will complete Interlagos in the quickest time? (based on five different categories).

The idea is to break the circuit into five different sectors, each with a question/category:

Sector 1 (Senna S, Curva do Sol and Reta Oposta) - best time = 17.8 seconds

Turns 4, 5 and 6 (Descida do Lago and Ferradura) - best time = 11.5 seconds

Turns 7, 8 and 9 (Curvo do Laranjinha and Pinheirinho) - best time = 14.2 seconds

Turns 10, 11 and 12 (Bico de Pato, Mergulho and Juncao) - best time = 13.7 seconds

Turns 13, 14 and 15 (Subida dos Boxes and Arquibancadas) - best time = 13.8 seconds

Theoretical best time = 71 seconds

You'll lose time depending on how far your picks are away from the ideal picks.
 

Sector 1 - Which driver will be the quickest in qualifying with the following handicaps applied:-

Vettel

Grosjean -0.6 seconds

Rosberg -0.65 seconds

Hulkenberg -0.85 seconds

Alonso -0.85 seconds

Perez -1.00 seconds

Ricciardo -1.20 seconds

Bottas -1.25 seconds

Di Resta - 1.3 seconds

Van der Garde - 2.45 seconds

Chilton -3.15 seconds

Your time will depend on how far your driver is behind the overall best pick. For example, if Vettel is the best pick and you picked Chilton who was 3.95 seconds behind (and has a 3.15 seconds handicap) you'd score 17.8 seconds (the best possible time) + 0.8 seconds = 18.6 seconds.

Turns 4-6 - Which teammates will be the closest in time adding their difference in both FP2 and FP3?

If Button and Perez are split by 0.03 seconds in FP2 and 0.31 seconds in FP3 then you'd add the totals to get 0.34 seconds. 

As above, the best pick will score you 11.5 seconds. Each additional place down will add an extra 0.06 seconds to your time.

Turns 7-9 - Which driver will finish the most positions above their teammate in the race?

This is a simple category, tie-breaks will be decided on the position of the lead driver, the closer to the lead, the better.

Anyone who picks a driver whose teammate retires or if they retire will automatically score an average time. For each position away from the ideal pick a further 0.065 seconds will be added to the time.

Turns 10-12 - Which team will gain the most combined positions from their grid position in the race?

Tie-breaks will be decided on the position of the lead driver, the closer to the lead, the better. Retirements will be classed as 0 gain, 0 loss. Each position away from the ideal pick will add an additional 0.07 seconds onto your time.

Turns 13-15 - Which team will have the greatest combined speed trap reading in qualifying?

Every place away from the ideal pick adds 0.05 seconds onto your time.

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I know the random is a bit crazy but I wanted to do something more grand for the finale especially with so many close battles throughout the field. If you hate it feel free to respond and I'll never do it again!

The scoring system works as follows:

Best picker: 3 points
2nd and 3rd: 2 points
4th, 5th and 6th: 1 point

Note 1: if there is an overall tie on weekend points and the usual method of race > constructors > qualifying > random cannot settle the difference, constructors points will be decided on actual random scores.

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Reminder: No Vettel qualifying or race picks and no Red Bull constructors picks. This is a Vettel free zone.

Post your picks in the following format -

Qualifying: 
Race:
Constructors:
Random:-
S1:
T4-6:
T7-9:
T10-12:
T13-15:

The deadline for Brazil picks is Friday 22nd November 12:00 GMT (before FP1). 

Good luck and may the best picker win! If anyone's worried about block picking, please email me with your picks here. Then I can post your picks during FP1 when possible. Same rules apply as usual, after you've made your picks you'll have a very small window to correct (1 hour) and then they're set in stone.

US Results and Championship Standings (18/19)

Sauber have been crowned constructors champions with an 87 point lead over Lotus! 

Congratulations to Kiszol on a great joint team effort.

The battle for second in the constructors championship has never been more hotly contested with only one point separating Lotus and McLaren with Ferrari only 20 points back. Anything could happen in Brazil especially with the unpredictable weather. 

Well done to MetalGatherer, who earned their fourth podium in eight races, and Michael whose consistency has finally paid off.  There's a lot of exciting (team) battles throughout the field - particularly between the Lotus drivers both on 265 points and the Mercedes drivers only separated by 1 point.

I'm highly anticipating Brazil where everything will be decided. Also shortly following will be a season awards thread and news about who has won the mini-champs car and £30 amazon voucher.

Here are the current standings:

  

Constructors Championship
 
For constructors, so not to disadvantage teams with only one driver (or to protect against someone who doesn't post), players will score points in line with race finishes. See the overall results below, MetalGatherer will score 18 points for their 2nd place this weekend. This is different to how the drivers championship will be scored. If players are tied they will be separated by the following criteria: Race > Constructors > Qualifying > Random > The time of the pick (earlier the better).

The podium was as follows (see post for further results)

Round-up of US picks 2013

See the US picking thread: (http://formulaoneanalysis.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/united-states-f1-prediction-league.html) 

Here is a round-up of picks:

The most common picks were clearly Vettel, Webber, Mercedes this week.

Qualifying

 

Read on for race, constructors and random splits.

United States - F1 Prediction League (Round 18)

The US GP last year produced a thrilling battle for the lead, one which we haven't seen for a while now - not since Germany or Hungary. Let's hope for a great race and a repeat of that situation!

The drivers championship is really close going into the final two rounds of the season, only three points difference which is nothing. I'm expecting a few more twists and turns to this one.

To keep their championship hopes alive Lotus need to outscore Sauber by 16 points otherwise a constructor will be crowned champions for the first time, in America.

To refresh your memories, here's a quick round-up of the standings so far:

For a full guide to the 2013 season including stats and other F1 prediction league articles, please go to: F1 Prediction League 2013

Also see the Driver speculation 2014 page for constructors offers etc. There are currently offers for Jasper94, Michael and Keba. Please don't be afraid to request a team if you're interested or to make specific demands if you feel you're worth it!

Update on Red Bull #2 contract situation:

The situation is fairly simple, Michael has to outscore Keba by at least 17 points (unless MetalGatherer wins the weekend). Otherwise Keba secures the Red Bull #2 contract. 

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Random Category for US (The US Casino)

Where will each constructors team finish in the race relative to their current constructors championship position?

For all eleven teams, you'll need to pick whether they'll finish higher, lower or the same compared to their current constructors position.

Finishing position for a constructor in the race is based on points scored and then on highest position finished therefore if a team which had 0 points finished 11th they would be the best of all the non-point scorers etc.

If you pick higher: you'll score 2 points for higher, 1 point for same and 0 points for lower.

If you pick the same, you'll score 1 point for higher, 2 points for the same and 1 point for lower

If you pick lower, you'll score 0 points for higher, 1 point for same and 2 points for lower.

The above is to compensate for the fact that finishing in the same position is a range of 1 whereas higher or lower are far broader.

At the end of the category total scores will be added and compared against other players, tie-breaks are decided by the player who scores the most 2 point hauls, then 1 point, then 0 points. If no decision can be made, it will revert to who picked first.

The scoring system works as follows:

Best picker: 3 points
2nd and 3rd: 2 points
4th, 5th and 6th: 1 point

Note 1: if there is an overall tie on weekend points and the usual method of race > constructors > qualifying > random cannot settle the difference, constructors points will be decided on actual random scores.

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Reminder: No Vettel race picks and no Red Bull constructors picks.

Post your picks in the following format -

Qualifying: 
Race:
Constructors:
Random:-

Red Bull 1st - Higher/Lower/Same

Mercedes 2nd -

Ferrari 3rd -

Lotus 4th -

McLaren 5th -

Force India 6th -

Sauber 7th -

Toro Rosso 8th -

Williams 9th -

Marussia 10th -

Caterham 11th -

The deadline for US picks is Friday 15th November 15:00 GMT (before FP1). 

Good luck and may the best picker win! If anyone's worried about block picking, please email me with your picks here. Then I can post your picks during FP1 when possible. Same rules apply as usual, after you've made your picks you'll have a very small window to correct (1 hour) and then they're set in stone.

I'll always attempt to pick fairly early, given my position in the championship always good to avoid any suspicions!

Abu Dhabi Results and Championship Standings (17/19)

Congratulations to Kim on an amazing weekend, the Mercedes pick mixed with Webber and a random point was a recipe for success. The gap to the lead has now shrunk noticeably to only three points so there's very little in it for the championship, it's going to be an edgy end to the season!

The battle for fourth to ninth is definitely still in full flow - Rajaram has taken the initiative and pulled out a six point gap but that could easily change with three drivers within 10 points.

In the constructors championship, McLaren made a significant movement into third position due to two excellent points finishing positions. Sauber have lost some of their lead in the battle for first but a 58 point lead means only a crazy end to the year could deny them the championship - Lotus will have to go all out to score 43 points out of 43 points next race!   

Here are the current standings:

  

Constructors Championship
For constructors, so not to disadvantage teams with only one driver (or to protect against someone who doesn't post), players will score points in line with race finishes. See the overall results below, Kim will score 25 points for their 1st place this weekend. This is different to how the drivers championship will be scored. If players are tied they will be separated by the following criteria: Race > Constructors > Qualifying > Random > The time of the pick (earlier the better).

The podium was as follows (see post for further results)

Round-up of Abu Dhabi picks 2013

See the Abu Dhabi picking thread: (http://formulaoneanalysis.blogspot.co.uk/2013/10/abu-dhabi-f1-prediction-league-round-17.html) 

Here is a round-up of picks:

Qualifying

 

Read on for race, constructors and random splits.