Welcome to the Spanish GP - round 5 of the 2014 F1 season! After a three week break, teams will be hoping their substantial upgrade packages work which will see them climb the grid.

This is a pivotal weekend in many respects both in F1 and the prediction league. If Mercedes retain their dominance the Constructors Championship looks increasingly out of the reach for Red Bull and Ferrari, who both desperately need to start closing the gap. Not to mention that a lead of 100 points in the Constructors Championship means Mercedes will be banned as a Constructors option, meaning that 'Soft Drinks' company may get a few more picks.

This weekend looks like the first all-dry weekend all season and will be fascinating. The million dollar question is whether any team can make a significant step forward - Red Bull, Ferrari, McLaren, Williams, Force India or Lotus? They're all in the hunt if they can find a good set-up for the weekend.

Reflecting the likelihood of Mercedes dominance a more complicated random has again been devised to keep things interesting.

As always here is a re-cap of the current standings:

Thanks to Nat for his help in creating this random and taking part in the random discussion.

This time the random involves three separate elements.

As is often the case, the winner of the random will be the player who scores the most points overall. When players are equal on points ties will be decided on the closest random 2 points prediction.

How many places will Alonso gain/lose on the opening lap compared to his starting position?

You guess the number, and then are awarded points based on how close you are e.g.

Spot on: 5 points

1 away: 4 points

2 away: 3 points

3 away: 2 points

4 away: 1 point

5 or more away: 0 points

Predict whether a team will score more, the same or less points than that team's average over the four races so far. You must then predict the amount of points they will score with both cars in Spain.

The rounded average points so far over the four races are:

A point will be scored for making the right more/same/less option pick. An additional point will be scored if your point prediction is within two points of the correct pick.

For qualifying, pick one driver for each sector. The aim is to score the lowest overall time using the best sector from the picked drivers from Q1, Q2 or Q3.

The only rules are that you cannot repeat a driver and you can only use one driver from each team. So you cannot pick:

Points will be scored based on a scale of 0-10. The best player will score 10 points, the second best player will score 9 points etc. In the event of a tie, both players will score the same amount of points.

For example if position 1 scores 1:24.000, position 2 scores 1:24.000 and position 3 scores 1:24.192. The players who are in P1 and P2 will both score 10 points. P3 will score 8 points.

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Feel free to post picks in the following format:

Mercedes - H/S/L X points

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Last year Alonso won a race dominated by tyre wear - which was both his last win and Massa's last podium. Only Kimi was able to stay within half a minute. This year they're teammates.

A flashback to the prediction league last year shows the Sauber Constructors team (Kiszol and I) claiming a first and only 1-2 for a constructors team since the start. Sangan also featured on the podium. Interestingly last year's podium are now all separated by one point in the 2014 Drivers Championship.

I think I speak for everyone when I say the random category will be extremely decisive this week so good luck!

As always let me know if you have any questions about the above.

This is a pivotal weekend in many respects both in F1 and the prediction league. If Mercedes retain their dominance the Constructors Championship looks increasingly out of the reach for Red Bull and Ferrari, who both desperately need to start closing the gap. Not to mention that a lead of 100 points in the Constructors Championship means Mercedes will be banned as a Constructors option, meaning that 'Soft Drinks' company may get a few more picks.

This weekend looks like the first all-dry weekend all season and will be fascinating. The million dollar question is whether any team can make a significant step forward - Red Bull, Ferrari, McLaren, Williams, Force India or Lotus? They're all in the hunt if they can find a good set-up for the weekend.

Reflecting the likelihood of Mercedes dominance a more complicated random has again been devised to keep things interesting.

As always here is a re-cap of the current standings:

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#### Random

Thanks to Nat for his help in creating this random and taking part in the random discussion.

This time the random involves three separate elements.

As is often the case, the winner of the random will be the player who scores the most points overall. When players are equal on points ties will be decided on the closest random 2 points prediction.

**Random 1: The Flying Spaniard**How many places will Alonso gain/lose on the opening lap compared to his starting position?

You guess the number, and then are awarded points based on how close you are e.g.

Spot on: 5 points

1 away: 4 points

2 away: 3 points

3 away: 2 points

4 away: 1 point

5 or more away: 0 points

**Random 2: The Mighty Update Package**

Predict whether a team will score more, the same or less points than that team's average over the four races so far. You must then predict the amount of points they will score with both cars in Spain.

The rounded average points so far over the four races are:

Red Bull 14 points

Force India 14 points

Ferrari 13 points

McLaren 11 points

Williams 9 points

Toro Rosso 2 points

Lotus 0 points

Sauber 0 points

A point will be scored for making the right more/same/less option pick. An additional point will be scored if your point prediction is within two points of the correct pick.

There are only two rules:

- You have to predict a points score which reflects the more, same or less points pick you originally made. For example you cannot pick Mercedes higher and pick 37 points as 37 points is lower than their average. If you pick the same option e.g. Sauber, you have no option but to pick the point option listed above, in this case 0 points.
- You must pick a possible points score so 32, 34, 36, 38, 39, 41 and 42 are not options.

**Random 3: Super Sector Select**For qualifying, pick one driver for each sector. The aim is to score the lowest overall time using the best sector from the picked drivers from Q1, Q2 or Q3.

The only rules are that you cannot repeat a driver and you can only use one driver from each team. So you cannot pick:

*Hamilton, Hamilton*, Alonso or Rosberg,*Vettel, Ricciardo*as they respectively break the two rules above.Points will be scored based on a scale of 0-10. The best player will score 10 points, the second best player will score 9 points etc. In the event of a tie, both players will score the same amount of points.

For example if position 1 scores 1:24.000, position 2 scores 1:24.000 and position 3 scores 1:24.192. The players who are in P1 and P2 will both score 10 points. P3 will score 8 points.

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**Template**

Feel free to post picks in the following format:

**Qualifying:****Race:****Constructors:****Random:**__Flying Spaniard:____The Mighty Upgrade Package:__Mercedes - H/S/L X points

Red Bull - H/S/L X points

Force India - H/S/L X points

Ferrari - H/S/L X points

McLaren - H/S/L X points

Williams - H/S/L X points

Toro Rosso - H/S/L X points

Lotus - H/S/L X points

Sauber - H/S/L X points

__Super Sector Select:__

Sector 1:

Sector 2:

Sector 3:

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Last year Alonso won a race dominated by tyre wear - which was both his last win and Massa's last podium. Only Kimi was able to stay within half a minute. This year they're teammates.

A flashback to the prediction league last year shows the Sauber Constructors team (Kiszol and I) claiming a first and only 1-2 for a constructors team since the start. Sangan also featured on the podium. Interestingly last year's podium are now all separated by one point in the 2014 Drivers Championship.

I think I speak for everyone when I say the random category will be extremely decisive this week so good luck!

As always let me know if you have any questions about the above.

Hey Scott,

ReplyDeleteThanks for this! Couple of amendments/clarifications that may be useful.

For ‘The Mighty Upgrade Package’ – the unavailable points picks (which can’t be scored) are 42, 41, 39, 38, 36, 34, 32.

Again with random 2 for the current constructors points if we’re rounding up from 0.5 then I got a couple of different ones when I was working it out initially:

Merc 39

FI 14

All depends on whether 0.5 is rounded up or down – I’d have thought up.

No worries. I've made the above modifications to my post. I rounded down on purpose but there are merits to having Force India on 14 rather than 13 so let's run with that.

ReplyDeleteI've also made a few wording changes as I seem to have been quite tired when I posted this.

Interesting random..

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Nico Rosberg

Race: Nico Rosberg

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 2

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 27 points

Force India - L 8 points

Ferrari - H 15 points

McLaren - L 0 points

Williams - L 6 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Nico Rosberg

Sector 2: Daniel Ricciardo

Sector 3: Fernando Alonso

Qualifying: Hamilton

ReplyDeleteRace: Alonso

Constructors: Ferrari

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 3

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - L 33 points

Red Bull - H 20 points

Force India - L 4 points

Ferrari - H 33 points

McLaren - L 3 points

Williams - L 2 points

Toro Rosso - L 1 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Alonso

Sector 2: Vettel

Sector 3: Hamilton

Qualifying: Hamilton

ReplyDeleteRace: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 2

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 40 points

Red Bull - H 28 points

Force India - S 14 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 1 points

Williams - L 2 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hulkenberg

Sector 2: Hamilton

Sector 3: Vettel

Qualifying: Hamilton

ReplyDeleteRace: Rosberg

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard:Gain 1

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 27 points

Force India - L 6 points

Ferrari - H 20 points

McLaren - H 12 points

Williams - L 8 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - H 1 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1:Hamilton

Sector 2: Alonso

Sector 3: Vettel

Qualifying: Hamilton

ReplyDeleteRace: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 1

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 22 points

Force India - S 14 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 3 points

Williams - L 4 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Rosberg

Sector 2: Vettel

Sector 3: Alonso

Qualifying: Hamster

ReplyDeleteRace: Hamster

Constructors: Merc

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 1 place

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 25 points

Force India - L 8 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 1 points

Williams - L 6 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - H 2 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Alonso

Sector 3: Ricciardo

Qualifying: Hamilton

ReplyDeleteRace: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 1

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 25 points

Force India - L 6 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 2 points

Williams - L 5 points

Toro Rosso - L 1 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Alonso

Sector 2: Hamilton

Sector 3: Ricciardo

First, I have quite a few sets of picks to post before posting my own. Aled Lewis:

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Rosberg

Race: Rosberg

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 2

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 40 points

Red Bull - H 30 points

Force India - L 6 points

Ferrari - H 18 points

McLaren - L 2 points

Williams - L 4 points

Toro Rosso - L 1 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Massa

Sector 2: Rosberg

Sector 3: Alonso

Joe:

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Hamilton

Race: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: +2

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H (43pts)

Red Bull - L (10pts)

Force India - L (8pts)

Ferrari - H (20pts)

McLaren - L (1pt)

Williams - H (11pts)

Toro Rosso - S (2pts)

Lotus - H (2pts)

Sauber - S (0pts)

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Alonso

Sector 3: Ricciardo

Rose31:

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Hamilton

Race: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: He will gain 2 places.

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 25 points

Force India - H 14 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 2 points

Williams - L 7 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1:Hamilton

Sector 2:Alonso

Sector 3: Vettel

Sorry, Rose clarified FI should be Lower 8 points.

DeleteMine:

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Hamilton

Race: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: 0 - no change.

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 25 points

Force India - L 7 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 2 points

Williams - L 6 points

Toro Rosso - L 1 point

Lotus - H 4 points

Sauber - S 0 points

And the quite popular choice of -

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Alonso

Sector 3: Ricciardo

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

ReplyDeleteSome modifications, sorry:

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Hamilton

Race: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 1

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 21 points

Force India - L 9 points

Ferrari - H 15 points

McLaren - L 7 points

Williams - L 8 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Alonso

Sector 3: Vettel

Hi Kiszol, I deleted your first post so I didn't (although unlikely) enter the wrong information into the results workings.

DeleteGood luck!

My picks for Spain are

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Lewis Hamilton

Race: Lewis Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: Gain 1

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes – H 43 points

Red Bull – H 27 points

Force India - L 8 points

Ferrari – H 16 points

McLaren - L 4 points

Williams - L 8 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus – H 1 point

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Lewis Hamilton

Sector 2: Fernando Alonso

Sector 3: Daniel Ricciardo

Qualifying: Hamilton

ReplyDeleteRace: Rosberg

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: + 3

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H - 43points

Red Bull - H - 22 points

Force India - L - 10 points

Ferrari - H - 21 points

McLaren - L - 0 points

Williams - L - 8 points

Toro Rosso - L - 1 points

Lotus - S - 0 points

Sauber - S - 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Ricciardo

Sector 3: Alonso

Qualifying: Ricciardo

ReplyDeleteRace: Vettel

Constructors: Red Bull

Random:

Flying Spaniard: gain 1.

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - L 18 points

Red Bull - M 45 points

Force India - L 7 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 0 points

Williams - L 6 points

Toro Rosso - L 1 point

Lotus - H 4 points

Sauber - H 2 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Alonso

Sector 3: Ricciardo

Q: Rosberg

ReplyDeleteR: ROSBERG.

CONSTRUCTOR : MERCEDES

FLYING SPANIARD :lose 1

Mercedes: 43 H

Red Bull: 15 L

Force inda: 7 L

FERRARI :H 18

Super sector:

1) Rosberg

2 Hamilton

3) Vettel

Hey ediglo, in super sector you can only pick one driver from one team so cannot pick both Rosberg and Hamilton.

DeleteRajaram picks (sorry for the formatting - I can't change the formatting in this box):

ReplyDeleteQualifying: Hamilton

Race: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: 2 Positions

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 25 points

Force India - L 13 points

Ferrari - H 15 points

McLaren - S 11 points

Williams - H 20 points

Toro Rosso - L 0 points

Lotus - H 3 points

Sauber - S 0 points

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Riccardio

Sector 3: Bottas

Qualifying: Hamilton

ReplyDeleteRace: Hamilton

Constructors: Mercedes

Random:

Flying Spaniard: 0 - no change.

The Mighty Upgrade Package:

Mercedes - H 43 points

Red Bull - H 25 points

Force India - L 7 points

Ferrari - H 16 points

McLaren - L 2 points

Williams - L 6 points

Toro Rosso - L 1 point

Lotus - S 0 points

Sauber - S 0 points

And the quite popular choice of -

Super Sector Select:

Sector 1: Hamilton

Sector 2: Alonso

Sector 3: Ricciardo

Can we the amazing Lotus team pull further ahead in the championship. Hoping so!

All you suckers who picked Mercedes ðŸ˜‹

ReplyDeleteWe're definitely in trouble especially with Hamilton! He looks very vulnerable.

Delete