Sunday, 13 July 2014

Germany 2014 (Round 10) - F1 Prediction League


We arrive at the German GP - the home race of Rosberg, Vettel, Hulkenberg and Sutil with what promises to be a tense weekend. Rosberg will be keen to repay Hamilton for defeat at the British GP. Also FRIC systems are likely to be banned - how will this shake up the competitive order?

Last time we were at Hockenheim Alonso qualified on pole in the wet and took a lights to flag victory. Vettel originally finished second after an intense battle with Button however he had 20 seconds added to his time due to an illegal overtake on Button by exceeding the track limits (sound familiar?).


 Hockenheim has hosted many memorable other F1 races including one of my favourites in 1997 (see the video below for the first lap). Gerhard Berger went on to win an emotional last race in F1 followed by Schumacher and Hakkinen. Of course that year Schumacher and Villenueve were in a battle for the title and Villeneuve did himself no favours by crashing on lap 33.

 

After Aled Lewis' consecutive wins is he able to triumph an unprecedented three times in a row? Will Michael and Sangan pick differently? There has only been one difference so far (Rosberg vs. Hamilton in Australis where Sangan succeeded, random has generally been a bigger strength for Michael).

Just to confirm Mercedes are still banned as a constructors pick. The theme of this weekend will be focussed on the German drivers.

Here are the current championship standings:






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Random


Thanks to Nat and Michael for their help in creating this random - please feel free to post suggestions here for other races.

Random will be split into two categories - German drivers and risk vs. reward.

German drivers
Q1: Will Rosberg beat his average practice position, where he's set a time, this weekend? (2.5)
Q2: Will Sutil beat his average qualifying position this weekend? (17th)
Q3: Will Hulkenberg beat his average race position this weekend? (7th)
Q4: Will Vettel beat his average fastest lap this weekend? (5th)
Q5: Who will finish in the highest position with the following handicaps? (Sutil, Hulkenberg (+8.5), Vettel (+11), Rosberg (+13.5).)
Q6: Which German will beat his teammate the most sessions across the weekend (Rosberg, Vettel, Hulkenberg, Sutil)? This includes the five sessions plus fastest lap - P1, P2, P3, Q, R, FL. An extra three points for guessing the exact right number of sessions. Two points for one away and one point away for two away. You do not need to guess the correct driver for the extra points.

Three points will be given for each of the above categories answered correctly. 

Risk vs. Rewards

Choose as many statements from the below which you believe will be correct. You will only score points if all the statements are correct:


Both Mercedes cars will finish (1 point)
Mercedes will top every session over the weekend (P1, P2, P3, Q, R)? (2 points)
Hulkenberg will score a quicker fastest lap than Perez (2 points)
Raikkonen will finish in the points (without hitting another driver or a wall) (2 points)
Hamilton will beat Rosberg in Practice 2 (2 points)
There will be a safety car in the race (3 points)
Alonso will finish in the top five (3 points)
There will be three Mercedes engine cars on the podium (4 points) 
Vettel and Alonso will finish three race laps next to each other (4 points)
Daniel Ricciardo will finish on the podium (4 points)
The podium will have two German drivers on (5 points)
Massa will retire (6 points)
A Sauber, Marussia or Caterham will score points (12 points)
Lewis Hamilton will score the Grand Chelem (qualifying, race, fastest lap, led every lap) (15 points)


Tie-break

Which German driver will qualify closest to Felipe Massa? Name the driver and the time difference. The driver will be the first tie-break and the time the ultimate tie-break.

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Template

Feel free to post picks in the following format:

Qualifying: 
Race: 
Constructors: [Not Mercedes as they are banned]
Random:

Q1: Yes/No
Q2: Yes/No
Q3: Yes/No
Q4: Yes/No
Q5: Rosberg +13.5 places/Vettel +11 places/Hulkenberg +8.5 places/Sutil
Q6: Rosberg/Vettel/Hulkenberg/Sutil

Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)

Tie-break
Closest German driver to Massa:
Time difference -

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I'm looking forward to this weekend. As always picks are due before Free Practice 1. Will Alonso work another miracle and win here.

17 comments:

  1. This will be Daniel Ricciardo's race, and Sutil/Sauber will finally find some pace/grip. Mark my words

    Qualifying: RIC
    Race: RIC
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Sutil
    Q6: Sutil in all the sessions

    Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)
    Daniel Ricciardo will finish on the podium (4 points)
    A Sauber, Marussia or Caterham will score points (12 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: HUL
    Time difference - 1.2

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That's if Sutil is still at Sauber. There at some rumours going around that he could be replaced by Van der Garde.

      I think Sutil will be at the German GP.

      Delete
  2. Qualifying: Hamilton
    Race: Alonso
    Constructors: Ferrari
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: No
    Q3: Yes
    Q4: No
    Q5: Rosberg
    Q6: Vettel - 4/6 sessions

    Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)
    The podium will have two German drivers on (5 points)
    Massa will retire (6 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Hulkenbarge
    Time difference - 0.131 sseconds

    ReplyDelete
  3. Qualifying: The Home Favourite Rosberg
    Race: Rosberg
    Constructors: Williams
    Random:
    Q1: No
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Vettel
    Q6: Rosberg - 4/6 sessions

    Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)
    Raikkonen will finish in the points (without hitting another driver or a wall) (2 points)
    There will be a safety car in the race (3 points)
    Alonso will finish in the top five (3 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Vettel
    Time difference - 0.27s

    ReplyDelete
  4. Still bottom of table

    Qualifying: ROS
    Race: ROS
    Constructors: WIL
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: No
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Sutil
    Q6: Hulkenberg - 5/6

    Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)
    Both Mercedes cars will finish (1 point)
    Mercedes will top every session over the weekend (P1, P2, P3, Q, R)? (2 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Vettel
    Time difference - 0.47s

    ReplyDelete
  5. Qualifying: HAM
    Race: HAM
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: No
    Q5: Rosberg
    Q6: Hulkenberg - 4/6

    Risk vs. Reward Statement
    Both Mercedes cars will finish (1 point)
    Mercedes will top every session over the weekend (P1, P2, P3, Q, R)? (2 points)
    Hamilton will beat Rosberg in Practice 2 (2 points)


    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Vettel
    Time difference - 0.180

    ReplyDelete
  6. Qualifying: Hamilton
    Race: Hamilton
    Constructors: Red Bull Racing
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Rosberg
    Q6: Sutil - 4/6

    Risk vs. Reward Statement
    Both Mercedes cars will finish (1 point)
    Hamilton will beat Rosberg in Practice 2 (2 points)
    Daniel Ricciardo will finish on the podium (4 points)


    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Vettel
    Time difference - 0.087

    ReplyDelete
  7. Qualifying: Hamilton
    Race: Hamilton
    Constructors: Williams
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Vettel
    Q6: Hulkenberg 4/6

    Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)

    Alonso will finish in the top five (3 points)
    There will be three Mercedes engine cars on the podium (4 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Vettel
    Time difference - 0.27

    ReplyDelete
  8. Aled Lewis' picks:

    Qualifying: Rosberg
    Race: Hamilton
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Q1: No
    Q2: No
    Q3: No
    Q4: No
    Q5: Hulkenberg
    Q6: Hulkenberg 2/6

    Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)

    There will be three Mercedes engine cars on the podium (4 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Hulk
    Time difference - 0.391

    ReplyDelete
  9. Joe's picks:

    Qualifying - Hamilton
    Race - Rosberg
    Constructors - Red Bull

    Random, German Drivers
    Q1: Y
    Q2: Y
    Q3: N
    Q4: Y
    Q5: Rosberg
    Q6: Hulkenberg

    Random, Risk vs. Reward
    1. Both Mercedes cars will finish
    2. Raikkonen will finish in the points
    3. Vettel and Alonso will finish 3 race laps next to each other

    Random, Tie-Break
    Vettel, 0.3s

    ReplyDelete
  10. My Picks for Germany

    Qualifying: Lewis Hamilton
    Race: Lewis Hamilton
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Nico Rosberg
    Q6: Nico Hulkenberg 5

    Risk vs. Reward Statements
    Both Mercedes cars will finish
    Nico Hulkenberg will score a quicker fastest lap then Sergio Perez
    Lewis Hamilton will beat Nico Rosberg in practice 2


    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Sebastian Vettel
    Time difference -0.250

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ammendment for random take Question 6 as
      Q6: Nico Hulkenberg 4/6 sessions

      Delete
  11. Qualifying: Rosberg
    Race: Rosberg
    Constructors: RedBull Racing
    Random:
    Q1: No
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: No
    Q5: Hulkenberg
    Q6: Sutil

    Risk vs. Reward Statements (copy + paste below)

    Both Mercedes cars will finish (1 point)
    Raikkonen will finish in the points (without hitting another driver or a wall) (2 points)
    There will be a safety car in the race (3 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Hulkenberg
    Time difference - 0.2

    ReplyDelete
  12. Qualifying: Hamilton
    Race: Hamilton
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Hulkenberg
    Q6: Hulkenberg 4

    Risk vs. Reward Statements
    Both Mercedes cars will finish
    Lewis Hamilton will beat Nico Rosberg in practice 2


    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Sebastian Vettel
    Time difference -0.171s

    ReplyDelete
  13. Qualifying: Hamilton
    Race: Hamilton
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: Yes
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Rosberg
    Q6: Sutil 5

    Risk vs. Reward Statements
    Lewis Hamilton will beat Nico Rosberg in practice 2
    There will be a safety car in the race

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Sebastian Vettel
    Time difference -0.142s

    ReplyDelete
  14. Nice mix of choices this weekend! With the forecast for Sunday we could be in for a wacky one.

    Qualifying: Ham
    Race: Ham
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:
    Q1: Yes
    Q2: No
    Q3: No
    Q4: Yes
    Q5: Rosberg
    Q6: Hulkenberg 4/6

    Risk vs. Reward Statements
    Both Mercedes cars will finish (1 point)
    Mercedes will top every session over the weekend (P1, P2, P3, Q, R)? (2 points)
    Hamilton will beat Rosberg in Practice 2 (2 points)

    Tie-break
    Closest German driver to Massa: Das Fingermeister (Vettel...)
    Time difference – 0.15s

    ReplyDelete