Sunday, 14 September 2014

Singapore 2014 (Round 14) - F1 Prediction League

Welcome to the Singapore prediction league thread! Things are heating up at the top of the PL with only five points separating first and second. 

Singapore is always a spectacle, not always completely entertaining but there have been enough exciting races to merit its place on the calendar. The night lights and the intensity of driving the cars here adds something different to many other locations.

There are many questions: Can Hamilton keep up the pressure on Rosberg? Or will this be a decisive blow to his title hopes like 2010 and 2012? Also will Ferrari fare better on a track less dependent on engine power? Di Montezemolo has stepped down so they will be hoping their fortunes turn soon.

2015 Contracts

It's that time of the year again, it is time to claim your stake in your preferred Constructor next year. Please see the table below for team moods:


Either post in the comments below or in the speculation thread. This can be a re-iteration of your commitment to your current team (with potential wage increases) or an offer to drive for another team. Typically once an offer has been made to take another seat, there will be a battle between the current driver and the offerer over three or so races. Depending on the current situation within a team the incumbent driver sometimes will have a positive handicap so the offerer needs to do something special to take their seat.

Teams will often decline offers straight off if they are very happy with their current drivers (e.g. Lotus) so you'll need to balance how realistic the bid is (based on your constructors points and past year performances) versus how happy each team are with their drivers.

Note: it's possible to make a maximum of two offers at once, including your current team. Each team will only consider three offers at once.

Without further ado let’s introduce the championship standings:


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Random


Thanks to everyone who has helped so far on random this year - please feel free to post suggestions here for other races. Michael helped with the random this time.

Predict the order of the full qualifying grid by highest classified car (e.g. Williams will finish ahead of Red Bull if they qualify 3rd and 17th while Red Bull qualify 4th and 5th) per Constructor. For each Constructor predict the driver who will do better across the weekend and whether the Constructor will finish higher, lower or the same in the race. 

For example:

1. Mercedes, Lewis Hamilton, Same
2. Red Bull, Sebastian Vettel, Same
3. Williams, Felipe Massa, Lower
4. Ferrari, Fernando Alonso, Higher
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.

Scoring

Qualification order

3 points will be scored for predicting the position of a team exactly right, 2 points for being one away and 1 point for being two away.

Driver prediction

1 point for finishing higher in qualifying and 1 point for finishing higher in the race. Both cars must set a time in qualifying and finish the race for the respective points to count. 

Race prediction

2 points will be scored if correct, 1 point if the outcome is one away from succeeding e.g. if same is predicted but the Constructor gains one place.

Note: If neither driver sets a time in qualifying for a team or neither driver finishes in the race then they will be ignored in the calculation. For instance, in the example above if neither Mercedes driver sets a time in qualifying then anyone who stated Red Bull 2nd (with Mercedes 1st) will score maximum points.

Tie-break

What will the gap be between a) Hamilton and Rosberg and b) Alonso and Raikkonen in qualifying? 

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Template


Hamilton, Rosberg and Mercedes banned.

Feel free to post picks in the following format:

Qualifying: 
Race: 
Constructors:
Random:

[Constructor, Driver, Higher/Same/Lower]
[Constructor, Driver, Higher/Same/Lower] etc.

Tie-break: HAM/ROS: X seconds, ALO/RAI: X seconds

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I'm looking forward to this weekend. As always with the title battle nicely poised (both around evens on most bookmakers) there is plenty of excitement left in this season.

As always picks are due before Free Practice 1.

22 comments:

  1. Qualifying: RIC
    Race: RIC
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:
    [Constructor, Driver, Higher/Same/Lower]
    Red Bull, Ricciardo, Same
    Mercedes, Rosberg, Same
    Alonso, Ferrari, Same
    Williams, Massa, Same
    STR, Kvyat, Same
    Mclaren, Button, Same
    Sauber, Sutil, Same
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Same
    Lotus, Grosjean, Same
    Marussia, Bianchi, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Same

    So it is, and so it shall be.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I want to stay at McLaren next year. Same terms are fine :-)

    Qualifying: Vettel
    Race: Ricciardo
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Mercedes, Hamilton, Same
    Red Bull, Ricciardo, Same
    Williams, Bottas, Same
    Ferrari, Alonso, Same
    McLaren, Button, Same
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Same
    Toro Rosso, Kvyat, Same
    Sauber, Sutil, Same
    Lotus, Grosjean, Same
    Marussia, Bianchi, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Same

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.3 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.6 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  3. My heart is with Marussia - best team in the world and the fans are just something else. Can I have a pay rise though? My teammate is rubbish :-D

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Driver 1: Nat (signed 14/04/2014, salary €1)
      Driver 2: Scott (signed 14/04/2014, salary €0, contractual terms: 1) must take the whole team out for drinks once a month; 2) must send a birthday present to each of the owners)

      Maybe in addition to the above, they'll make me pay for your salary as well!

      I agree though, the Marussia fans stand above any other team's fans including the Tifosi.

      Delete
  4. Scott, I would like to Join to RedBull for 2015

    ReplyDelete
  5. Qualifying: Vettel
    Race: Vettel
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Mercedes, Rosberg, Same
    Red Bull, Vettel, Same
    Ferrari, Alonso, Same
    Williams, Bottas, Low
    McLaren, Button, Higher
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Same
    Toro Rosso, Vergne, Same
    Lotus, Maldonado, Same
    Sauber, Sutil, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, lower
    Marussia, Bianchi, Higher

    ReplyDelete
  6. Please could I make two offers both for second seat:

    Ferrari, £5m
    Red Bull (current), £10m

    Qualifying: Bottas
    Race: Alonso
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Mercedes, Rosberg, Same
    Red Bull, Vettel, Lower
    Ferrari, Alonso, Higher
    Williams, Bottas, Lower
    McLaren, Button, Higher
    Force India, Perez, Same
    Toro Rosso, Vergne, Lower
    Lotus, Maldonado, Higher
    Sauber, Sutil, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Lower
    Marussia, Bianchi, Higher

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.000 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.199 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  7. Qualifying - Ricciardo
    Race - Ricciardo
    Constructors - Red Bull

    Random
    1 RED BULL - Ricciardo
    2 MERCDES - Rosebrg
    3 WILLIAMS - Bottas
    4 FERRARI - Alonso
    5 MCLAREN - Magnussen
    6 FORCE INDIA - Hulkenburg
    7 TORO ROSSO - Vergne
    8 LOTUS - Grosjean - Lower
    9 SAUBER - Sutil - Higher
    10 MARUSSIA - Bianchi
    11 CATERHAM - Gutierrez

    (NB: All Same unless otherwise stated)

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.278 seconds, ALO/RAI: 1.392 seconds

    Team Options .... After being given Ferrari Seat No.2 for the rest of the season. I'd like the opportunity to have a full seasons drive (pay negotiable on final seasons race performances).
    2nd Option - See what offers are available.

    ReplyDelete
  8. I would be happy to continue journey with Lotus for the third year and I hope we could win first championship this year,at least we are looking quite good at the standings and also Sangan was brilliant this season.

    Qualifying: Bottas
    Race: Bottas
    Constructors:WIL
    Random:
    Mercedes,Hamilton, Same
    Williams, Bottas, Same
    Red Bull, Riccardo, Same
    Ferrari, Alonso, Same
    McLaren, Magnussen, Higher
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Same
    Toro Rosso, Kvyat, Same
    Lotus, Grosjean, Same
    Sauber, Gutierez, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, lower
    Marussia, Bianchi, Higher

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.150 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.490 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  9. "I agree though, the Marussia fans stand above any other team's fans including the Tifosi."
    - Now this is clearly nonsence. And it doesn't deserve a proper rebuttal. I just wished to express my disappointment.

    On a related note, I love having a seat at the greatest team the sport has seen. And I wish to enter negotiations regarding my future there. My dedication is such that I refuse to negotiate with any other teams whilst the option of Ferrari is still open. Only if the talks fall through shall I consider alternatives.

    In the meantime, I do not wish to appease the press by responding to any speculations they may have as to how the talks are going. I shall, instead, focus my attention on gaining the maximum I can for the team. Which means Singapore:

    Qualifying - Ricciardo
    Race - Ricciardo
    Constructors - Red Bull
    Random -
    01. Mercedes, Rosberg, Same
    02. Red Bull, Ricciardo, Same
    03. Williams, Bottas, Lower
    04. Ferrari, Alonso, Higher
    05. McLaren, Magnussen, Same
    06. Force India, Hulkenberg, Same
    07. Torro Rosse, Kvyat, Same
    08. Lotus, Grosjean, Lower
    09. Sauber, Sutil, Higher
    10. Marussia, Bianchi, Same
    11. Caterham, Gutierrez, Lower
    Tie Break a) 0.2s
    Tie Break b) 0.8s

    ReplyDelete
  10. I'd love to stay at Mercedes, same terms, driver one. I'd like to attract the strongest teammate possible. I have a big feeling Red Bull are going to have a disaster here! A double retirement.

    Qualifying: Vettel
    Race: Alonso
    Constructors: Ferrari
    Random:
    Mercedes,Hamilton, Same
    Red Bull, Riccardo, Lower
    Ferrari, Alonso, Higher
    Williams, Bottas, Higher
    McLaren, Magnussen, Higher
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Same
    Toro Rosso, Kvyat, Higher
    Lotus, Grosjean, Same
    Sauber, Gutierez, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Lower
    Marussia, Bianchi, Higher

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.239 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.711 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  11. ........missed last week.

    Sign up for Williams, D1 or Mercedes, D2

    Qualifying: Ricciardo
    Race: Bottas
    Constructors: Williams
    Random:
    Mercedes,Rosberg, Same
    Red Bull, Riccardo, Lower
    Ferrari, Alonso, Lower
    Williams, Bottas, Higher
    McLaren, Magnussen, Same
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Lower
    Toro Rosso, Kvyat, Same
    Lotus, Grosjean, Higher
    Sauber, Gutierez, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Same
    Marussia, Bianchi, Same

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.001 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.099 seconds

      Delete
  12. Qualifying: Vettel
    Race: Vettel
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Mercedes, HAM, Same
    Red Bull, VET, Same
    Williams, BOT, Same
    Ferrari, ALO, Same
    Toro Rosso, KVY, Lower
    McLaren, BUT, Higher
    Force India, PER, Same
    Sauber, SUT, Lower
    Lotus, GRO, Higher
    Marussia, BIA, Same
    Caterham, KOB, Same

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.222 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.444 seconds

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Forgot. Keep the dream team together. Staying with Lotus if they'll have me

      Delete
  13. Team preferences:

    1, Ferrari 1st
    2, Red Bull 1st (my current seat) - I don't deserve a raise...


    Picks:

    Qualifying: VET
    Race: RIC
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:

    Mercedes, Hamilton, Same
    Red Bull, Vettel, Same
    Williams, Bottas, Lower
    McLaren, Magnussen, Lower
    Ferrari, Alonso, Higher
    Toro Rosso, Kvyat, Lower
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Higher
    Lotus, Grosjean, Same
    Sauber, Sutil, Same
    Marussia, Bianchi, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Same

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.225 seconds, ALO/RAI: 375 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  14. With regards to my contract situation Willi Webber has made me aware of the Mclaren offer but advised me to see who the teams are recruiting driver and technical personnel wise. Willi has however stressed the magnitude of Ron's offer and from a personal perspective Kim and I make a formidable team. This combined with a better car has resulted in more success than last year.

    Anyway my picks are

    Qualifying: Daniel Ricciardo
    Race: Daniel Ricciardo
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:

    Mercedes ,Lewis Hamilton, Same
    Red Bull, Daniel Ricciardo, Same
    Williams, Valterri Bottas, Same
    Ferrari, Fernando Alonso, Same
    Force India, Nico Hulkenburg, Lower
    Mclaren Kevin Magnussen, Higher
    Torro Rosso Daniil Kyvat, Same
    Sauber Adrian Sutil, Same
    Lotus Roman Grosjean, Same
    Marussia Jules Bianchi, Same
    Caterham Kamui Kobayashi Same
    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.175 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.625 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  15. Qualifying: Sebastian Vettel
    Race: Daniel Ricciardo
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    Mercedes, Lewis Hamilton, Same
    Red Bull, Daniel Ricciardo, Same
    Williams, Valtteri Bottas, Same
    Ferrari, Alonso, Same
    McLaren, Button, Same
    Toro Rosso, Kvyat, Lower
    Force India, Hulkenberg, Higher
    Sauber, Sutil, Same
    Lotus, Grosjean, Same
    Marussia, Bianchi, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Same

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.156 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.519 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  16. Aled Lewis' (very shortened) picks:

    Qualifying: DR
    Race: DR
    Constructors: RB

    Random:

    M, NR, L
    RB, DR, H
    F, FA, S
    MCL, KM, L
    WIL, VB, H
    TR, JEV, S
    FI, SP, L
    SA, AS, H
    LOT, RG, H
    MAR, JB, S
    CAT, KK, S

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.3 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.9 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  17. I'll work out the team's responses to driver offers and feedback over the weekend.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Here's ma pickshnizzle!

    Qualifying: VET
    Race: RIC
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:
    Mercedes, Hamilton, Same
    RBR, Dan, Same
    Williams, Bottas, Lower
    Ferrari, Alonso, Higher
    Mclaren, Button, Same
    STR, Kvyat, Lower
    Force India, Perez, Higher
    Sauber, Sutil, Same
    Lotus, Grosjean, Same
    Marussia, Bianchi, Same
    Caterham, Kobayashi, Same

    Tie-break: HAM/ROS: 0.2 seconds, ALO/RAI: 0.6 seconds


    P.S. surprised no one has snapped up the Caterham seat for 2015 - I understand that they have been massing technical personnel (mostly secondary school kids).

    P.P.S. Number 1 driver at Marussia has to speak with a french accent and wear a beret. Number 2 must finish the race (i.e. make picks) or else perform a vague and unspecified forfeit.

    ReplyDelete
  19. I am Sauber through and through.

    ReplyDelete