Tuesday, 7 October 2014

Russia 2014 (Round 16) - F1 Prediction League

A cloud follows F1 to the inaugural Russian GP in Sochi after Bianchi's severe injuries at Suzuka. As stated before, everyone is routing for him to pull through and to recover from his diffuse axonal injury.

Russia had big celebrations planned but these will (rightfully) be toned down despite a Russian driving in F1 (Kvyat) who has just secured a place at the four-time constructors champions, Red Bull. 

The random this week will be based around Kvyat and a few other topical issues.

There are, as always, plenty of interesting threads to this weekend. Will Rosberg be able to stop Hamilton from achieving his second four-win streak of the season? Can Williams overcome Red Bull? Will Fernando actually finish a race? 

For updates on the team hiring situation see the previous post (results from Japan).

The current championship standings are:




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Random


Thanks to everyone who has helped so far on random this year - please feel free to post suggestions here for other races. 




Category 1 - The Russian

1) How far will Daniil Kvyat qualify behind his 2015 teammate Daniel Ricciardo timewise? 



2) Which of the following will Kvyat beat in qualifying (2 points for each correct answer)

Hulkenberg 
Vergne
Button
Raikkonen

3) Will Kvyat beat Vergne in the race? (both must finish) (4 points)

Category 2 - On the move?

4) How many positions will Alonso a) out-qualify Magnussen and b) out-race Button?



5) Will Vettel beat Raikkonen in at least four of the following five sessions - FP1, FP2, FP3, Qualifying and Race? (3 points, a bonus 2 points for getting the exact amount right). 


Tie-break

How many seconds will the leading Mercedes/Red Bull finish ahead of the leading Ferrari/McLaren in the race?

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Template


Hamilton, Rosberg and Mercedes banned.

Feel free to post picks in the following format:

Qualifying: 
Race: 
Constructors: 
Random:

1) X.XXX seconds
2) Yes - [list choices)
3) Yes/No
4a) +/- X places
4b) +/- X places
5) Yes/No, 1/2/3/4/5

Tie-break: X.X seconds

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As always picks are due before Free Practice 1 which is 0700 GMT/1000 Sochi time.

Note: Due to Bianchi's accident teammate domination for the rest of the year will need to changed.

All Bianchi pickers (Joe, Brian and I) should replace Bianchi with anyone else in their budget range. Bianchi was worth 6m so a replacement needs to be picked at that value or below (e.g. Bottas for me).

Joe's current team: Massa (3m), Magnussen (3m)
Brian's current team: Sutil (4m)

All Chilton pickers (Kiszol, Paul Smith and MetalGatherer) should replace Chilton with another driver OR replace Chilton and another driver with two different options. Chilton was 2m and the other drivers remain the same.

Kiszol's current team: Alonso (7m), Vettel (3m)
Paul's current team: Alonso (7m), Massa (3m)
Metalgatherer's current team: Hamilton (5m), Ricciardo (5m)

Budget is 12m.



21 comments:

  1. Brian, currently for teammate domination you only have two drivers so without Bianchi you have Sutil (4m) so feel free to pick two drivers for a maximum of 8m to accompany him.

    Joe, Kiszol, Paul Smith and MetalGatherer - follow the instructions above.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Qualifying: Ricciardo
    Race: Ricciardo
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    1) 2.4 seconds
    2) Yes - Vergne, Hulkenberg (assuming this is Risk vs Reward...)
    3) No
    4a) 3 places
    4b) 4 places
    5) Yes, 4

    Tie-Break: 17.1s

    I would like to replace Bianchi with Kobayashi. Actually, I wouldn't. But needs must.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Joe, category 2 isn't risk vs. rewards. It's just a yes/no but I'm just assuming if you don't put yes you think no.

      Unfortunately Kobayashi is too expensive - I've changed the post to make it clearer to everyone else. Cheers.

      Delete
    2. After speaking to Joe he would like to add Kvyat to beat Raikkonen in category 2 and will change Bianchi to Grosjean.

      Delete
  3. Nice random :-) Especially given the short turnaround between races. Quick clarification on number 2 - is it 2 points also for each correct 'no' answer?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks ;-) That's right. 2 points for each correct yes or no for category 2.

      Delete
  4. Qualifying: Massa
    Race: Alonso
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    1) 1.981 seconds
    2) Yes - Hulkenberg
    3) Yes
    4a) 3 places
    4b) 1 place
    5) Yes, 5

    Tie-break: 51.1 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  5. Qualifying: RIC
    Race: RIC
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    1) 1.5 seconds
    2) Yes - Vergne, Hulkenberg, Raikkonen
    3) No
    4a) 5 places
    4b) 5 places
    5) Yes, all 5

    Domination: I'll take Alonso for 7M. Pretty certain.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Qualifying: VET
    Race: RIC
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:
    1) 0.810
    2) Yes - HUL,VER
    3) Yes
    4a) 3 places
    4b) 5 places
    5) Yes 4

    Tie-break: 19.0 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  7. Qualifying: Ricciardo
    Race: Bottas
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    1) 1.6 seconds
    2) Yes - Hulkenberg, Raikkonen
    3) Yes
    4a) -1 place
    4b) -1 place
    5) Yes, 4

    Tie-break: 34.9 seconds

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Can I replace Ricciardo and Chilton with Kvyat and Magnussen?

      Delete
  8. Aled Lewis' picks:

    Qualifying: RIC
    Race: VET
    Constructors: RBR
    Random:
    1) 1.99 seconds
    2) Y - Vergne
    3) Y
    4a) 5 places
    4b) 2 places
    5) Y, 5

    Tie-break: 21.6 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  9. Qualifying: Vettel
    Race: Vettel
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    1) 1.732 seconds
    2) Yes - Button, Hulkenberg, Raikkonen
    3) No
    4a) 4 places
    4b) 4 places
    5) Yes, 5

    Tie-break: 16.6 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  10. Fingers crossed for Bianchi, looks better now than it did straight after the race but still a long way to go.

    Picks this weekend (a little different to the choices so far):
    Qualifying: Bottas
    Race: Bottas
    Constructors: Williams
    Random:
    1) 1.1s
    2) Yes – Vergne, Hulkenberg
    3) Yes
    4a) + 2 places
    4b) + 2 places
    5) No, 2

    Tie-break: 35.0 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  11. Qualifying: Bottas
    Race: Ricciardo
    Constructors: Red Bull
    Random:
    1) 1.,754s
    2) Yes – Vergne, Hulkenberg
    3) Yes
    4a) + 4 places
    4b) + 2 places
    5) No, 3

    Tie-break: 33.3 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  12. My new "Teammate domination" picks: Bottas, Vettel, Kvyat (so Bottas + Kvyat instead of Alonso + Chilton)

    Qualifying: BOT
    Race: BOT
    Constructors: WIL
    Random:
    1) 0.799 seconds
    2) Yes - [Vergne, H├╝lkenberg]
    3) Yes
    4a) +2 places
    4b) +3 places
    5) Yes, 4

    Tie-break: 29.6 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  13. Quali: Bottas
    Race: Bottas
    Cons: Williams

    Random:
    Q1 - 0.746
    Q2 - Hulkenberg
    Q3 - No
    Q4a - + 4
    Q4b - + 3
    Q5 - No; 3

    TB: 24 secs

    ReplyDelete
  14. Qualifying: Bottas
    Race: Bottas
    Constructors: Williams
    Random:
    1) 0.756s
    2) Yes – Hulkenberg, Vergne
    3) No
    4a) 2 places
    4b) 2 places
    5) No, 2

    Tie-break: 37.7 seconds

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry, just to highlight an edit I made to the original post. Bottas is my TMD pick (replacing Bianchi).

      Delete
  15. Qualifying: Valterri Bottas
    Race: Valterri Bottas
    Constructors: Williams
    Random:
    1) 1.656 seconds
    2) Yes – Jenson Button and Kimi Raikonnen
    3) Yes
    4a) +4 places
    4b) + 2 places
    5) No, 3

    Tie-break: 26.5 seconds

    ReplyDelete
  16. Qualifying: Ricciardo
    Race: Vettel
    Constructors: RedBull Racing
    Random:
    1) 1 seconds
    2) Yes – Jenson Button and JE Vergne
    3) Yes
    4a) +4 places
    4b) + 3 places
    5) yes, 4

    Tie-break: 25 seconds

    ReplyDelete